{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\gwcox\Desktop\jop replication materials\cbeffects.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}20 Oct 2022, 12:39:28

{com}. do "C:\Users\gwcox\Desktop\jop replication materials\cbeffects.do"
{txt}
{com}. * Figure 3
. graph box pctcrossb2,over(era) ytitle("Crossbench dissent rate")
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. * TABLE 1
. gen notwin = (next==0)
{txt}
{com}. replace notwin = . if next==.
{txt}(0 real changes made)

{com}. gen winnew = (next==2)
{txt}
{com}. replace notwin = . if next==.
{txt}(0 real changes made)

{com}. 
. mlogit next pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L",vce(clus mpid) base(1)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2970.3289}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2812.8368}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2795.152}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2794.9643}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2794.9641}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     3,348
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}34{txt}){col 67}= {res}    324.33
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2794.9641{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0590

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,452} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}        next{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}0            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.159739{col 26}{space 2} .2342672{col 37}{space 1}    4.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7005839{col 67}{space 3} 1.618895
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0702282{col 26}{space 2} .0803043{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.382{col 54}{space 4}-.2276218{col 67}{space 3} .0871654
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1057841{col 26}{space 2}  .104575{col 37}{space 1}   -1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.312{col 54}{space 4}-.3107474{col 67}{space 3} .0991792
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4695003{col 26}{space 2} .1801605{col 37}{space 1}   -2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4}-.8226083{col 67}{space 3}-.1163922
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6627262{col 26}{space 2} .1960851{col 37}{space 1}    3.38{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .2784063{col 67}{space 3} 1.047046
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .523363{col 26}{space 2} .2111851{col 37}{space 1}    2.48{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4} .1094478{col 67}{space 3} .9372781
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4679538{col 26}{space 2} .2054787{col 37}{space 1}    2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}  .065223{col 67}{space 3} .8706846
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4336282{col 26}{space 2} .2042461{col 37}{space 1}    2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4} .0333132{col 67}{space 3} .8339433
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4345558{col 26}{space 2} .2126162{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-.8512759{col 67}{space 3}-.0178357
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8065497{col 26}{space 2} .1921384{col 37}{space 1}    4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4299654{col 67}{space 3} 1.183134
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2618224{col 26}{space 2} .2038309{col 37}{space 1}    1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.199{col 54}{space 4}-.1376788{col 67}{space 3} .6613235
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9883959{col 26}{space 2} .1901219{col 37}{space 1}    5.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6157639{col 67}{space 3} 1.361028
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1765938{col 26}{space 2} .2175944{col 37}{space 1}    0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.417{col 54}{space 4}-.2498833{col 67}{space 3} .6030709
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.056104{col 26}{space 2} .2113367{col 37}{space 1}    9.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.641891{col 67}{space 3} 2.470316
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9795516{col 26}{space 2} .2006741{col 37}{space 1}    4.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5862376{col 67}{space 3} 1.372866
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2871823{col 26}{space 2} .2278216{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.207{col 54}{space 4}-.1593398{col 67}{space 3} .7337044
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2216403{col 26}{space 2} .2238365{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.322{col 54}{space 4}-.2170712{col 67}{space 3} .6603518
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.16078{col 26}{space 2} .1572347{col 37}{space 1}   -7.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.468955{col 67}{space 3} -.852606
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}1           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}2            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.287447{col 26}{space 2} .4418667{col 37}{space 1}   -2.91{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} -2.15349{col 67}{space 3}-.4214039
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2771672{col 26}{space 2} .1456429{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.5626219{col 67}{space 3} .0082876
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4677878{col 26}{space 2} .2206708{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-.9002947{col 67}{space 3}-.0352809
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4385997{col 26}{space 2} .2582009{col 37}{space 1}   -1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-.9446641{col 67}{space 3} .0674647
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0407176{col 26}{space 2} .3070998{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.895{col 54}{space 4} -.561187{col 67}{space 3} .6426222
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1416604{col 26}{space 2} .3742214{col 37}{space 1}   -0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.705{col 54}{space 4}-.8751208{col 67}{space 3}    .5918
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0877252{col 26}{space 2}  .319937{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.784{col 54}{space 4}-.5393398{col 67}{space 3} .7147902
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .134532{col 26}{space 2} .3096929{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.664{col 54}{space 4} -.472455{col 67}{space 3}  .741519
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2610613{col 26}{space 2} .3037164{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.390{col 54}{space 4}-.8563345{col 67}{space 3} .3342119
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5383135{col 26}{space 2} .3780934{col 37}{space 1}   -1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.155{col 54}{space 4}-1.279363{col 67}{space 3}  .202736
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0233048{col 26}{space 2} .3141894{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.941{col 54}{space 4}-.5924952{col 67}{space 3} .6391048
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2096917{col 26}{space 2} .3392525{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.537{col 54}{space 4}-.8746145{col 67}{space 3}  .455231
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8581767{col 26}{space 2} .4442377{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-1.728867{col 67}{space 3} .0125131
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.067916{col 26}{space 2} .2807014{col 37}{space 1}    7.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.517751{col 67}{space 3} 2.618081
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0710344{col 26}{space 2}  .327409{col 37}{space 1}   -0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.828{col 54}{space 4}-.7127443{col 67}{space 3} .5706755
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.434361{col 26}{space 2} .5543521{col 37}{space 1}   -2.59{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-2.520871{col 67}{space 3}-.3478509
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.889342{col 26}{space 2} .6279677{col 37}{space 1}   -3.01{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-3.120136{col 67}{space 3} -.658548
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.604447{col 26}{space 2}  .229367{col 37}{space 1}   -7.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.053998{col 67}{space 3}-1.154896
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. mlogit next pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C",vce(clus mpid) base(1)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3037.3692}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -2794.46}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -2708.52}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2620.8824}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2619.4136}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2619.393}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2619.3929}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     3,518
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}34{txt}){col 67}= {res}    653.41
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2619.3929{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1376

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,522} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}        next{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}0            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6374638{col 26}{space 2} .2796518{col 37}{space 1}    2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4} .0893563{col 67}{space 3} 1.185571
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4477595{col 26}{space 2} .0905731{col 37}{space 1}    4.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2702395{col 67}{space 3} .6252795
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3006891{col 26}{space 2} .1588618{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0106742{col 67}{space 3} .6120525
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0414741{col 26}{space 2} .1714984{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.809{col 54}{space 4}-.2946567{col 67}{space 3} .3776048
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1233758{col 26}{space 2} .2172248{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.570{col 54}{space 4} -.302377{col 67}{space 3} .5491285
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.15735{col 26}{space 2} .2080752{col 37}{space 1}    5.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7495303{col 67}{space 3}  1.56517
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3669415{col 26}{space 2} .2242207{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.102{col 54}{space 4} -.072523{col 67}{space 3} .8064061
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .776903{col 26}{space 2} .2202656{col 37}{space 1}    3.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3451904{col 67}{space 3} 1.208616
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1483391{col 26}{space 2} .2486554{col 37}{space 1}   -0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.551{col 54}{space 4}-.6356948{col 67}{space 3} .3390165
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .695789{col 26}{space 2} .2237329{col 37}{space 1}    3.11{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2572806{col 67}{space 3} 1.134297
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7135414{col 26}{space 2} .2368836{col 37}{space 1}    3.01{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .2492581{col 67}{space 3} 1.177825
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2492739{col 26}{space 2} .2311282{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.281{col 54}{space 4} -.203729{col 67}{space 3} .7022767
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.355855{col 26}{space 2} .2059037{col 37}{space 1}    6.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9522912{col 67}{space 3} 1.759419
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  2.86277{col 26}{space 2} .2899299{col 37}{space 1}    9.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.294518{col 67}{space 3} 3.431022
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2625679{col 26}{space 2} .2404463{col 37}{space 1}   -1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.275{col 54}{space 4} -.733834{col 67}{space 3} .2086981
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .471701{col 26}{space 2} .2082724{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .0634946{col 67}{space 3} .8799074
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.605946{col 26}{space 2}   .21489{col 37}{space 1}   12.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  2.18477{col 67}{space 3} 3.027123
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.429914{col 26}{space 2} .1740242{col 37}{space 1}   -8.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.770996{col 67}{space 3}-1.088833
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}1           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}2            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.077725{col 26}{space 2} .5466195{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.887{col 54}{space 4}-1.149079{col 67}{space 3} .9936295
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5361831{col 26}{space 2} .1772278{col 37}{space 1}    3.03{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}  .188823{col 67}{space 3} .8835433
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.090153{col 26}{space 2}  .370446{col 37}{space 1}   -0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.808{col 54}{space 4}-.8162139{col 67}{space 3} .6359079
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.491609{col 26}{space 2} .7221245{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-2.906947{col 67}{space 3} -.076271
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1300874{col 26}{space 2} .4806445{col 37}{space 1}   -0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.787{col 54}{space 4}-1.072133{col 67}{space 3} .8119585
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .856422{col 26}{space 2}  .412431{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0480722{col 67}{space 3} 1.664772
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3813746{col 26}{space 2} .4531055{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.400{col 54}{space 4}-.5066958{col 67}{space 3} 1.269445
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5735221{col 26}{space 2} .4461386{col 37}{space 1}    1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.199{col 54}{space 4}-.3008934{col 67}{space 3} 1.447938
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4015636{col 26}{space 2} .5457245{col 37}{space 1}   -0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.462{col 54}{space 4}-1.471164{col 67}{space 3} .6680368
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4668847{col 26}{space 2} .4593235{col 37}{space 1}    1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.309{col 54}{space 4}-.4333728{col 67}{space 3} 1.367142
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.010399{col 26}{space 2} .3913134{col 37}{space 1}    5.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.243439{col 67}{space 3} 2.777359
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1937117{col 26}{space 2} .5159801{col 37}{space 1}   -0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.707{col 54}{space 4}-1.205014{col 67}{space 3} .8175908
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .325492{col 26}{space 2} .4650978{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.484{col 54}{space 4}-.5860829{col 67}{space 3} 1.237067
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.953627{col 26}{space 2} .4247427{col 37}{space 1}    9.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.121147{col 67}{space 3} 4.786107
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.059429{col 26}{space 2} .6119953{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.083{col 54}{space 4}-2.258918{col 67}{space 3} .1400601
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9752244{col 26}{space 2}  .571043{col 37}{space 1}   -1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4}-2.094448{col 67}{space 3} .1439993
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.438342{col 26}{space 2} 1.066814{col 37}{space 1}   -1.35{col 46}{space 3}0.178{col 54}{space 4} -3.52926{col 67}{space 3} .6525755
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.959175{col 26}{space 2} .3501972{col 37}{space 1}   -8.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.645549{col 67}{space 3}-2.272801
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L",vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     3,348
                                                {txt}F(17, 1451)       =  {res}    11.83
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0507
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .46276

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,452} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2834028{col 26}{space 2} .0509924{col 37}{space 1}    5.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1833761{col 67}{space 3} .3834296
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.006269{col 26}{space 2} .0166022{col 37}{space 1}   -0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4}-.0388359{col 67}{space 3}  .026298
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0111802{col 26}{space 2} .0212753{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.599{col 54}{space 4}-.0529138{col 67}{space 3} .0305534
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0841234{col 26}{space 2} .0339626{col 37}{space 1}   -2.48{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4}-.1507444{col 67}{space 3}-.0175024
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1335544{col 26}{space 2} .0389929{col 37}{space 1}    3.43{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  .057066{col 67}{space 3} .2100429
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1077615{col 26}{space 2} .0422785{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0248279{col 67}{space 3} .1906951
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0889419{col 26}{space 2}  .039615{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0112331{col 67}{space 3} .1666507
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .080295{col 26}{space 2} .0396886{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}  .002442{col 67}{space 3} .1581481
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0669022{col 26}{space 2} .0336221{col 37}{space 1}   -1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4}-.1328553{col 67}{space 3} -.000949
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1820584{col 26}{space 2} .0394677{col 37}{space 1}    4.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1046385{col 67}{space 3} .2594783
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0484277{col 26}{space 2} .0386794{col 37}{space 1}    1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.211{col 54}{space 4}-.0274458{col 67}{space 3} .1243012
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2171873{col 26}{space 2} .0389644{col 37}{space 1}    5.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1407547{col 67}{space 3}   .29362
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0443961{col 26}{space 2} .0414983{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.285{col 54}{space 4} -.037007{col 67}{space 3} .1257992
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3224392{col 26}{space 2} .0392039{col 37}{space 1}    8.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2455369{col 67}{space 3} .3993416
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2085607{col 26}{space 2} .0406025{col 37}{space 1}    5.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1289148{col 67}{space 3} .2882066
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0755675{col 26}{space 2} .0439433{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.086{col 54}{space 4}-.0106317{col 67}{space 3} .1617667
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0667939{col 26}{space 2}  .041829{col 37}{space 1}    1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.111{col 54}{space 4}-.0152579{col 67}{space 3} .1488456
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2034011{col 26}{space 2} .0277871{col 37}{space 1}    7.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1488939{col 67}{space 3} .2579084
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C",vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     3,518
                                                {txt}F(17, 1521)       =  {res}    38.34
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1340
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .45083

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,522} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1389819{col 26}{space 2} .0595673{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0221392{col 67}{space 3} .2558245
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0784725{col 26}{space 2} .0180644{col 37}{space 1}    4.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0430387{col 67}{space 3} .1139064
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0625565{col 26}{space 2} .0316314{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0005107{col 67}{space 3} .1246023
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0270804{col 26}{space 2} .0350573{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.440{col 54}{space 4}-.0416853{col 67}{space 3} .0958461
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0224304{col 26}{space 2} .0381028{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.556{col 54}{space 4}-.0523093{col 67}{space 3}   .09717
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2307834{col 26}{space 2} .0410244{col 37}{space 1}    5.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1503131{col 67}{space 3} .3112537
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0626487{col 26}{space 2} .0410889{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.0179482{col 67}{space 3} .1432456
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1485667{col 26}{space 2} .0429761{col 37}{space 1}    3.46{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0642681{col 67}{space 3} .2328653
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0237803{col 26}{space 2}  .041025{col 37}{space 1}   -0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.562{col 54}{space 4} -.104252{col 67}{space 3} .0566913
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1317889{col 26}{space 2} .0433348{col 37}{space 1}    3.04{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0467866{col 67}{space 3} .2167913
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0765387{col 26}{space 2} .0428462{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.0075052{col 67}{space 3} .1605825
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0462761{col 26}{space 2} .0415186{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-.0351637{col 67}{space 3} .1277159
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2915387{col 26}{space 2} .0404508{col 37}{space 1}    7.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2121935{col 67}{space 3} .3708839
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3423447{col 26}{space 2} .0456792{col 37}{space 1}    7.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2527438{col 67}{space 3} .4319455
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0312923{col 26}{space 2} .0373857{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.403{col 54}{space 4}-.1046252{col 67}{space 3} .0420407
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0962799{col 26}{space 2} .0380586{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0216271{col 67}{space 3} .1709327
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5788947{col 26}{space 2} .0363616{col 37}{space 1}   15.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5075704{col 67}{space 3} .6502189
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .179813{col 26}{space 2} .0293435{col 37}{space 1}    6.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .122255{col 67}{space 3} .2373709
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L",vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     3,348
                                                {txt}F(17, 1451)       =  {res}     6.74
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0425
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .26806

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,452} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.100033{col 26}{space 2} .0207778{col 37}{space 1}   -4.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1407907{col 67}{space 3}-.0592753
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0187458{col 26}{space 2} .0104667{col 37}{space 1}   -1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.0392773{col 67}{space 3} .0017856
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0255864{col 26}{space 2} .0114478{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4}-.0480424{col 67}{space 3}-.0031303
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0163262{col 26}{space 2} .0155781{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.295{col 54}{space 4}-.0468842{col 67}{space 3} .0142319
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0150353{col 26}{space 2} .0242358{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.535{col 54}{space 4}-.0625763{col 67}{space 3} .0325056
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0236081{col 26}{space 2}  .025833{col 37}{space 1}   -0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.361{col 54}{space 4}-.0742821{col 67}{space 3} .0270658
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0048915{col 26}{space 2} .0266309{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.854{col 54}{space 4}-.0571307{col 67}{space 3} .0473476
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0021038{col 26}{space 2} .0256686{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.935{col 54}{space 4}-.0524552{col 67}{space 3} .0482477
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0145344{col 26}{space 2} .0240136{col 37}{space 1}   -0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.545{col 54}{space 4}-.0616394{col 67}{space 3} .0325706
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0493694{col 26}{space 2} .0216573{col 37}{space 1}   -2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}-.0918522{col 67}{space 3}-.0068865
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0054622{col 26}{space 2} .0250322{col 37}{space 1}   -0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.827{col 54}{space 4}-.0545653{col 67}{space 3}  .043641
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0395054{col 26}{space 2} .0228647{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-.0843568{col 67}{space 3} .0053461
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0507988{col 26}{space 2} .0222413{col 37}{space 1}   -2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}-.0944273{col 67}{space 3}-.0071703
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1436958{col 26}{space 2} .0318859{col 37}{space 1}    4.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0811485{col 67}{space 3} .2062432
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0315525{col 26}{space 2} .0252496{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.212{col 54}{space 4}-.0810823{col 67}{space 3} .0179772
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0770354{col 26}{space 2} .0219495{col 37}{space 1}   -3.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1200916{col 67}{space 3}-.0339793
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0885609{col 26}{space 2} .0210802{col 37}{space 1}   -4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1299119{col 67}{space 3}  -.04721
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1228987{col 26}{space 2} .0195957{col 37}{space 1}    6.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0844599{col 67}{space 3} .1613376
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C",vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     3,518
                                                {txt}F(17, 1521)       =  {res}    12.13
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1132
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res}  .2286

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,522} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0198714{col 26}{space 2} .0280678{col 37}{space 1}   -0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.479{col 54}{space 4} -.074927{col 67}{space 3} .0351843
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0184234{col 26}{space 2}  .009817{col 37}{space 1}    1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.061{col 54}{space 4} -.000833{col 67}{space 3} .0376797
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0092138{col 26}{space 2} .0131877{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.485{col 54}{space 4}-.0350818{col 67}{space 3} .0166542
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.045659{col 26}{space 2} .0118843{col 37}{space 1}   -3.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0689703{col 67}{space 3}-.0223477
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0059625{col 26}{space 2} .0184207{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.746{col 54}{space 4}-.0420952{col 67}{space 3} .0301703
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0224489{col 26}{space 2} .0198116{col 37}{space 1}    1.13{col 46}{space 3}0.257{col 54}{space 4}-.0164122{col 67}{space 3} .0613099
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0134274{col 26}{space 2} .0205045{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.513{col 54}{space 4}-.0267928{col 67}{space 3} .0536475
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0160855{col 26}{space 2} .0205488{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.434{col 54}{space 4}-.0242214{col 67}{space 3} .0563924
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0111394{col 26}{space 2} .0184527{col 37}{space 1}   -0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.546{col 54}{space 4}-.0473349{col 67}{space 3}  .025056
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0120926{col 26}{space 2} .0204215{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.554{col 54}{space 4}-.0279647{col 67}{space 3} .0521498
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1682589{col 26}{space 2} .0318954{col 37}{space 1}    5.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1056953{col 67}{space 3} .2308226
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0092268{col 26}{space 2}  .018651{col 37}{space 1}   -0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.621{col 54}{space 4}-.0458112{col 67}{space 3} .0273576
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0072689{col 26}{space 2} .0178558{col 37}{space 1}   -0.41{col 46}{space 3}0.684{col 54}{space 4}-.0422934{col 67}{space 3} .0277556
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2899392{col 26}{space 2} .0361552{col 37}{space 1}    8.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2190199{col 67}{space 3} .3608585
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0280181{col 26}{space 2} .0163279{col 37}{space 1}   -1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.086{col 54}{space 4}-.0600457{col 67}{space 3} .0040094
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.028984{col 26}{space 2} .0156817{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-.0597439{col 67}{space 3}  .001776
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0413369{col 26}{space 2} .0146113{col 37}{space 1}   -2.83{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.0699973{col 67}{space 3}-.0126765
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0422211{col 26}{space 2} .0143767{col 37}{space 1}    2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0140208{col 67}{space 3} .0704214
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. * Appendix A
. gen mmd = (mag>1)
{txt}
{com}. replace mmd = . if mag==.
{txt}(1,925 real changes made, 1,925 to missing)

{com}. tsset mpid year
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}mpid (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1835 to 1906, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. xtreg pctcrossb mmd i.parl_start if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C",vce(clus mpid) fe
{res}
{txt}Fixed-effects (within) regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     2,978
{txt}Group variable: {res}mpid{txt}{col 49}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}     1,270

{txt}R-sq:{col 49}Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.1242{col 63}{txt}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.1367{col 63}{txt}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       2.3
{txt}     overall = {res}0.1318{col 63}{txt}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        11

{txt}{col 49}F({res}14{txt},{res}1269{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    19.25
{txt}corr(u_i, Xb){col 16}= {res}-0.0428{txt}{col 49}Prob > F{col 67}={col 73}{res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,270} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}   pctcrossb{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}mmd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0675165{col 26}{space 2} .0387274{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4}-.1434933{col 67}{space 3} .0084602
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}parl_start {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0108504{col 26}{space 2} .0115491{col 37}{space 1}    0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.348{col 54}{space 4}-.0118071{col 67}{space 3} .0335079
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.004166{col 26}{space 2} .0128381{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.746{col 54}{space 4}-.0293522{col 67}{space 3} .0210202
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0536725{col 26}{space 2} .0211877{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0121058{col 67}{space 3} .0952392
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1264741{col 26}{space 2} .0225564{col 37}{space 1}    5.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0822222{col 67}{space 3}  .170726
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1331126{col 26}{space 2} .0249434{col 37}{space 1}    5.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0841778{col 67}{space 3} .1820474
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1004764{col 26}{space 2} .0224019{col 37}{space 1}    4.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0565276{col 67}{space 3} .1444252
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .015365{col 26}{space 2} .0235445{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.514{col 54}{space 4}-.0308255{col 67}{space 3} .0615555
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .040729{col 26}{space 2} .0244932{col 37}{space 1}    1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.097{col 54}{space 4}-.0073227{col 67}{space 3} .0887807
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0209707{col 26}{space 2} .0232923{col 37}{space 1}   -0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4}-.0666664{col 67}{space 3} .0247249
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0326119{col 26}{space 2}   .02437{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.181{col 54}{space 4} -.015198{col 67}{space 3} .0804219
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0350485{col 26}{space 2} .0245532{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.154{col 54}{space 4}-.0832178{col 67}{space 3} .0131208
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0441188{col 26}{space 2} .0244653{col 37}{space 1}   -1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.072{col 54}{space 4}-.0921157{col 67}{space 3} .0038782
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0505555{col 26}{space 2} .0244118{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-.0984475{col 67}{space 3}-.0026635
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1182396{col 26}{space 2} .0383938{col 37}{space 1}    3.08{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0429173{col 67}{space 3} .1935619
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
     sigma_u {c |} {res}  .1172862
     {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .12180827
         {txt}rho {c |} {res} .48109343{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. 
. * APPENDIX B (early v late career)
. sort mpid year
{txt}
{com}. egen nterms = seq(),by(mpid)
{txt}
{com}. 
. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L"&nterms<=3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     2,695
                                                {txt}F(17, 1449)       =  {res}     9.69
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0512
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .46004

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,450} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3144038{col 26}{space 2}    .0588{col 37}{space 1}    5.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1990616{col 67}{space 3} .4297461
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0303787{col 26}{space 2} .0184996{col 37}{space 1}   -1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.101{col 54}{space 4}-.0666675{col 67}{space 3} .0059101
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0082324{col 26}{space 2} .0248574{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.741{col 54}{space 4}-.0569927{col 67}{space 3} .0405279
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0778501{col 26}{space 2} .0360621{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.1485895{col 67}{space 3}-.0071106
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1360074{col 26}{space 2} .0389114{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0596787{col 67}{space 3} .2123362
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1103953{col 26}{space 2}  .042233{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4}  .027551{col 67}{space 3} .1932397
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0948762{col 26}{space 2} .0428747{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0107731{col 67}{space 3} .1789793
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0998703{col 26}{space 2} .0443501{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}  .012873{col 67}{space 3} .1868676
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0643749{col 26}{space 2} .0353693{col 37}{space 1}   -1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-.1337554{col 67}{space 3} .0050056
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1618705{col 26}{space 2} .0437213{col 37}{space 1}    3.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0761067{col 67}{space 3} .2476344
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0326098{col 26}{space 2} .0417337{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.435{col 54}{space 4}-.0492552{col 67}{space 3} .1144747
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1839614{col 26}{space 2} .0422551{col 37}{space 1}    4.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1010736{col 67}{space 3} .2668491
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0345941{col 26}{space 2} .0445138{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.437{col 54}{space 4}-.0527242{col 67}{space 3} .1219125
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3309811{col 26}{space 2} .0424079{col 37}{space 1}    7.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2477937{col 67}{space 3} .4141686
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1860362{col 26}{space 2} .0426053{col 37}{space 1}    4.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1024616{col 67}{space 3} .2696108
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0779722{col 26}{space 2} .0504157{col 37}{space 1}    1.55{col 46}{space 3}0.122{col 54}{space 4}-.0209234{col 67}{space 3} .1768677
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0323041{col 26}{space 2} .0458378{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.481{col 54}{space 4}-.0576115{col 67}{space 3} .1222197
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2101634{col 26}{space 2} .0283455{col 37}{space 1}    7.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1545609{col 67}{space 3} .2657659
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L"&nterms>3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}       653
                                                {txt}F(14, 322)        =  {res}     4.16
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0742
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res}  .4713

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:323} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1773381{col 26}{space 2} .1098949{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.108{col 54}{space 4}-.0388645{col 67}{space 3} .3935407
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0962242{col 26}{space 2}  .036007{col 37}{space 1}    2.67{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .0253856{col 67}{space 3} .1670628
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0360496{col 26}{space 2} .0446559{col 37}{space 1}   -0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.420{col 54}{space 4}-.1239037{col 67}{space 3} .0518046
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0960267{col 26}{space 2} .0758192{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4}-.2451902{col 67}{space 3} .0531368
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0302555{col 26}{space 2} .0848672{col 37}{space 1}   -0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.722{col 54}{space 4}-.1972197{col 67}{space 3} .1367086
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1245648{col 26}{space 2} .0802645{col 37}{space 1}   -1.55{col 46}{space 3}0.122{col 54}{space 4}-.2824739{col 67}{space 3} .0333444
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1700558{col 26}{space 2} .0859132{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0010338{col 67}{space 3} .3390778
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0470367{col 26}{space 2} .0874808{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.591{col 54}{space 4}-.1250693{col 67}{space 3} .2191428
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2604054{col 26}{space 2} .0856939{col 37}{space 1}    3.04{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0918149{col 67}{space 3}  .428996
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0362073{col 26}{space 2} .0979991{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.712{col 54}{space 4}-.1565921{col 67}{space 3} .2290068
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2548912{col 26}{space 2} .0916157{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0746504{col 67}{space 3} .4351321
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2614428{col 26}{space 2} .1032721{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0582697{col 67}{space 3}  .464616
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0446325{col 26}{space 2} .0905785{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.623{col 54}{space 4}-.1335678{col 67}{space 3} .2228329
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .112075{col 26}{space 2}  .091771{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-.0684714{col 67}{space 3} .2926215
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2228698{col 26}{space 2} .0666404{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0917642{col 67}{space 3} .3539754
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C"&nterms<=3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     2,823
                                                {txt}F(17, 1521)       =  {res}    30.22
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1348
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .44845

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,522} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1579119{col 26}{space 2} .0689572{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} .0226507{col 67}{space 3} .2931731
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0860088{col 26}{space 2} .0202755{col 37}{space 1}    4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .046238{col 67}{space 3} .1257797
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0627227{col 26}{space 2} .0375938{col 37}{space 1}    1.67{col 46}{space 3}0.095{col 54}{space 4}-.0110184{col 67}{space 3} .1364638
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.004491{col 26}{space 2} .0452399{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.921{col 54}{space 4}-.0932301{col 67}{space 3} .0842482
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1837  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0225249{col 26}{space 2} .0380974{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.554{col 54}{space 4}-.0522041{col 67}{space 3}  .097254
{txt}{space 7}1841  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2311044{col 26}{space 2} .0410249{col 37}{space 1}    5.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .150633{col 67}{space 3} .3115757
{txt}{space 7}1847  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0454994{col 26}{space 2} .0440642{col 37}{space 1}    1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.302{col 54}{space 4}-.0409336{col 67}{space 3} .1319324
{txt}{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1242843{col 26}{space 2} .0460776{col 37}{space 1}    2.70{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0339019{col 67}{space 3} .2146667
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0415993{col 26}{space 2} .0445123{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.350{col 54}{space 4}-.1289113{col 67}{space 3} .0457127
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1440986{col 26}{space 2} .0479665{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0500112{col 67}{space 3} .2381861
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0454552{col 26}{space 2} .0463127{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-.0453882{col 67}{space 3} .1362986
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0120207{col 26}{space 2}  .044117{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.785{col 54}{space 4}-.0745159{col 67}{space 3} .0985573
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2759371{col 26}{space 2} .0427918{col 37}{space 1}    6.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}     .192{col 67}{space 3} .3598742
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3185824{col 26}{space 2}  .050139{col 37}{space 1}    6.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2202334{col 67}{space 3} .4169313
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0373908{col 26}{space 2} .0388594{col 37}{space 1}   -0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.336{col 54}{space 4}-.1136145{col 67}{space 3} .0388329
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .110957{col 26}{space 2} .0409817{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0305703{col 67}{space 3} .1913436
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5788864{col 26}{space 2} .0387672{col 37}{space 1}   14.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5028435{col 67}{space 3} .6549293
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1780993{col 26}{space 2} .0295995{col 37}{space 1}    6.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1200392{col 67}{space 3} .2361594
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. regress notwin pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C"&nterms>3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}       695
                                                {txt}F(14, 337)        =  {res}    10.35
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1427
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .46039

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:338} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      notwin{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1113089{col 26}{space 2}  .117121{col 37}{space 1}    0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.343{col 54}{space 4}-.1190714{col 67}{space 3} .3416891
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0690017{col 26}{space 2} .0466007{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.140{col 54}{space 4}-.0226632{col 67}{space 3} .1606666
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0611952{col 26}{space 2} .0606806{col 37}{space 1}    1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.314{col 54}{space 4}-.0581654{col 67}{space 3} .1805557
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1212068{col 26}{space 2} .0856509{col 37}{space 1}    1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-.0472708{col 67}{space 3} .2896845
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .123883{col 26}{space 2}  .085541{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.148{col 54}{space 4}-.0443785{col 67}{space 3} .2921445
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0908518{col 26}{space 2} .0814582{col 37}{space 1}   -1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.266{col 54}{space 4}-.2510824{col 67}{space 3} .0693788
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0082495{col 26}{space 2}  .083874{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.922{col 54}{space 4} -.173232{col 67}{space 3}  .156733
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0375196{col 26}{space 2} .0865095{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.665{col 54}{space 4}-.1326471{col 67}{space 3} .2076863
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0300917{col 26}{space 2} .0842535{col 37}{space 1}    0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.721{col 54}{space 4}-.1356373{col 67}{space 3} .1958208
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2479786{col 26}{space 2} .0872872{col 37}{space 1}    2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0762821{col 67}{space 3}  .419675
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3043853{col 26}{space 2} .0911069{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1251754{col 67}{space 3} .4835952
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1076179{col 26}{space 2} .0831065{col 37}{space 1}   -1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.196{col 54}{space 4}-.2710907{col 67}{space 3}  .055855
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0497042{col 26}{space 2} .0748284{col 37}{space 1}   -0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.507{col 54}{space 4}-.1968937{col 67}{space 3} .0974853
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .47663{col 26}{space 2} .0726714{col 37}{space 1}    6.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3336833{col 67}{space 3} .6195766
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2838007{col 26}{space 2} .0577597{col 37}{space 1}    4.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1701858{col 67}{space 3} .3974156
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L"&nterms<=3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     2,695
                                                {txt}F(17, 1449)       =  {res}     5.16
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0370
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .28044

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,450} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
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{space 2}country_id {c |}
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{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
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{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0241527{col 26}{space 2} .0257846{col 37}{space 1}   -0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.349{col 54}{space 4}-.0747319{col 67}{space 3} .0264264
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{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1435076{col 26}{space 2} .0348565{col 37}{space 1}    4.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0751331{col 67}{space 3} .2118822
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0212995{col 26}{space 2} .0273649{col 37}{space 1}   -0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-.0749785{col 67}{space 3} .0323796
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0735083{col 26}{space 2} .0244031{col 37}{space 1}   -3.01{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.1213776{col 67}{space 3}-.0256391
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0814715{col 26}{space 2} .0237102{col 37}{space 1}   -3.44{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.1279815{col 67}{space 3}-.0349614
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1251878{col 26}{space 2} .0201246{col 37}{space 1}    6.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0857114{col 67}{space 3} .1646642
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{res}{txt}
{com}. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="L"&nterms>3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}       653
                                                {txt}F(14, 322)        =  {res}     2.98
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0003
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1037
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .20677

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:323} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0726638{col 26}{space 2} .0377435{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.055{col 54}{space 4}-.1469188{col 67}{space 3} .0015912
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0103854{col 26}{space 2} .0175258{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.554{col 54}{space 4}-.0448649{col 67}{space 3} .0240941
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.007026{col 26}{space 2} .0201253{col 37}{space 1}   -0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.727{col 54}{space 4}-.0466196{col 67}{space 3} .0325677
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0196479{col 26}{space 2}  .024578{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.425{col 54}{space 4}-.0287058{col 67}{space 3} .0680017
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
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{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .060218{col 26}{space 2}  .051738{col 37}{space 1}    1.16{col 46}{space 3}0.245{col 54}{space 4}-.0415692{col 67}{space 3} .1620052
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0442449{col 26}{space 2} .0367184{col 37}{space 1}   -1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.229{col 54}{space 4}-.1164831{col 67}{space 3} .0279933
{txt}{space 7}1874  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0479313{col 26}{space 2}  .033483{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.153{col 54}{space 4}-.1138043{col 67}{space 3} .0179416
{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .184176{col 26}{space 2} .0664384{col 37}{space 1}    2.77{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}  .053468{col 67}{space 3} .3148841
{txt}{space 7}1892  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.043921{col 26}{space 2} .0439511{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4}-.1303885{col 67}{space 3} .0425465
{txt}{space 7}1895  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0424574{col 26}{space 2} .0395141{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-.1201958{col 67}{space 3} .0352811
{txt}{space 7}1900  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.064468{col 26}{space 2} .0349519{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.1332309{col 67}{space 3} .0042948
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .071666{col 26}{space 2} .0364046{col 37}{space 1}    1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.050{col 54}{space 4} .0000452{col 67}{space 3} .1432869
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C"&nterms<=3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}     2,823
                                                {txt}F(17, 1521)       =  {res}    10.62
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0000
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1149
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .23933

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1,522} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0494773{col 26}{space 2} .0357111{col 37}{space 1}   -1.39{col 46}{space 3}0.166{col 54}{space 4}-.1195254{col 67}{space 3} .0205709
{txt}{space 5}borough {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0164027{col 26}{space 2} .0109944{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-.0051632{col 67}{space 3} .0379685
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0087822{col 26}{space 2} .0152894{col 37}{space 1}   -0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.566{col 54}{space 4}-.0387727{col 67}{space 3} .0212084
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{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
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{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0345737{col 26}{space 2} .0247322{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.162{col 54}{space 4}-.0139391{col 67}{space 3} .0830865
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2123655{col 26}{space 2} .0390478{col 37}{space 1}    5.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1357723{col 67}{space 3} .2889587
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0033189{col 26}{space 2} .0218854{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.879{col 54}{space 4}-.0396098{col 67}{space 3} .0462476
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{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0453322{col 26}{space 2} .0144394{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0170089{col 67}{space 3} .0736554
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. regress winnew pctcrossb borough i.country_id i.year if era<=3&everswitch==0&party2=="C"&nterms>3,vce(clus mpid) 

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}       695
                                                {txt}F(14, 337)        =  {res}     2.42
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0030
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1626
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .17227

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:338} clusters in mpid)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winnew{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pctcrossb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0510666{col 26}{space 2} .0366064{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.164{col 54}{space 4}-.0209393{col 67}{space 3} .1230724
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{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 2}country_id {c |}
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{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 8}year {c |}
{space 7}1852  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0148182{col 26}{space 2} .0155316{col 37}{space 1}   -0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.341{col 54}{space 4}-.0453693{col 67}{space 3}  .015733
{txt}{space 7}1857  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0016576{col 26}{space 2} .0229442{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.942{col 54}{space 4}-.0434742{col 67}{space 3} .0467894
{txt}{space 7}1859  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0163911{col 26}{space 2} .0158253{col 37}{space 1}   -1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.301{col 54}{space 4}-.0475199{col 67}{space 3} .0147378
{txt}{space 7}1865  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0980004{col 26}{space 2} .0440668{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0113197{col 67}{space 3}  .184681
{txt}{space 7}1868  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0118994{col 26}{space 2} .0163368{col 37}{space 1}   -0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.467{col 54}{space 4}-.0440343{col 67}{space 3} .0202355
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{txt}{space 7}1880  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2713862{col 26}{space 2}  .066454{col 37}{space 1}    4.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1406693{col 67}{space 3}  .402103
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{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0057201{col 26}{space 2} .0179693{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.750{col 54}{space 4}-.0296261{col 67}{space 3} .0410663
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{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
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 {txt}closed on:  {res}20 Oct 2022, 12:39:45
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